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"Çѱ¹ ´ëÅë·ÉÀÌ À¯¿£¿¡¼ ¹Ì±¹ ÀÔÀå°ú ÀÌ·¸°Ô ´Ù¸¥ ¿¬¼³À» ÇÏ´Â °É º» ÀûÀÌ ¾ø´Ù."
¹Ì ÇàÁ¤ºÎ¿¡¼ Çѹݵµ ¹®Á¦¸¦ ´Ù·ð´ø Àü °íÀ§ °ü¸®µéÀº ¹®ÀçÀÎ Çѱ¹ ´ëÅë·ÉÀÌ À¯¿£ÃÑȸ ±âÁ¶¿¬¼³¿¡¼ Á¾Àü¼±¾ðÀÇ Çʿ伺À» È£¼ÒÇÑ °Í°ú °ü·ÃÇØ, ºÏÇÑÀÇ ºñÇÙȳª Çѹݵµ ÆòÈ¿Í ¾Æ¹« °ü·Ã ¾ø´Â °øÇãÇÑ Á¶Ä¡°¡ µÉ °ÍÀ̶ó°í Æò°¡Çß½À´Ï´Ù. ºÏÇѰú Áß±¹ÀÇ ¹Ì-ÇÑ µ¿¸Í Æó±â ÁÖÀå¿¡ ÈûÀ» ½Ç¾îÁÙ °ÍÀ̶ó¸ç, ÆòÈüÁ¦·Î °¡±â À§Çؼ± ÈξÀ º¹ÀâÇÑ Á¶°Ç°ú ÀýÂ÷°¡ µû¸¥´Ù°í ÁöÀûÇß½À´Ï´Ù. ¹é¼º¿ø ±âÀÚ°¡ º¸µµÇÕ´Ï´Ù.
¸¶ÀÌŬ ±×¸° Àü·«±¹Á¦¹®Á¦¿¬±¸¼Ò(CSIS) ¼±ÀӺμÒÀåÀº ¡°Çѱ¹ÀüÀï Á¾ÀüÀ» ¼±¾ðÇÏ´Â °ÍÀÌ ¿ÏÀüÇÑ ºñÇÙÈÀÇ ±æÀ» ¿¾îÁÖÁö ¸øÇÑ´Ù¡±°í ÁöÀûÇß½À´Ï´Ù.
[¸¶ÀÌŬ ±×¸° CSIS ¼±ÀӺμÒÀå / Àü ¹é¾Ç°ü ¼±ÀÓº¸Á°ü] ¡°Declaring and end to the Korean War would not pave the way for complete denuclearization. It would only give China, Russia and North Korea an excuse to argue for dismantlement of the UN Command, the Combined Forces Command and US-ROK exercises –all of which are critical for deterrence.¡±
¹é¾Ç°ü ±¹°¡¾Èº¸È¸ÀÇ(NSC) ¾Æ½Ã¾Æ´ã´ç ¼±ÀÓº¸Á°üÀ» Áö³½ ±×¸° ºÎ¼ÒÀåÀº 23ÀÏ VOA¿¡ Á¾Àü¼±¾ðÀº ¡°Áß±¹, ·¯½Ã¾Æ, ºÏÇÑÀÌ À¯¿£±º»ç·ÉºÎ¿Í Çѹ̿¬ÇÕ»ç·ÉºÎ, ¹Ì-ÇÑ ¿¬ÇÕ±º»çÈÆ·ÃÀ» Æó±âÇØ¾ß ÇÑ´Ù°í ÁÖÀåÇÒ ¼ö ÀÖ´Â ±¸½Ç¸¸ ÁÙ »Ó¡±À̶ó°í ÁÖÀåÇß½À´Ï´Ù.
ÀÌ¾î ¡°Çѱ¹ ´ëÅë·ÉÀÌ À¯¿£¿¡¼ ¹Ì±¹ ÀÇȸ, ÇàÁ¤ºÎÀÇ ÀÔÀå°ú ÀÌ·¸°Ô ÀÏÄ¡ÇÏÁö ¾Ê´Â ¿¬¼³À» ÇÏ´Â °ÍÀ» º» ÀûÀÌ °ÅÀÇ ¾ø´Ù¡±°í ¹àÇû½À´Ï´Ù.
[¸¶ÀÌŬ ±×¸° CSIS ¼±ÀӺμÒÀå / Àü ¹é¾Ç°ü ¼±ÀÓº¸Á°ü] ¡°I have also rarely seen a Korean President deliver a speech in the United Nations more out of synch with where the U.S. Congress and U.S. administration are. Calling for a Peace Treaty as one stop on the way to peace and unification would have been fine –but it is an illusion to think that declaring peace makes it so, I¡¯m afraid.¡±
±×·¯¸é¼ ¡°ÆòÈ¿Í ÅëÀÏ·Î ÇâÇÏ´Â ÇÑ ´Ü°è·Î¼ ÆòÈÁ¶¾à ü°áÀ» Ã˱¸Çß´Ù¸é ±¦Âú¾Ò°ÚÁö¸¸, Æòȸ¦ ¼±Æ÷ÇÔÀ¸·Î½á ±×·¸°Ô ÇÒ ¼ö ÀÖ´Ù°í »ý°¢ÇÏ´Â °ÍÀº ȯ»ó¡±À̶ó°í ¸»Çß½À´Ï´Ù.
±×¸° ºÎ¼ÒÀåÀº ¡°1928³â ÇÁ¶û½º ÆÄ¸®¿¡¼ ÇÁ·©Å© ÄÌ·Î±× ¹Ì ±¹¹«Àå°ü°ú ¾Æ¸®½ºÆ¼µå ºê¸®¾Ó ÇÁ¶û½º ¿Ü¹«Àå°üÀÌ ±¹°¡ÀÇ Á¤Ã¥¼ö´ÜÀ¸·Î ÀüÀï Æ÷±â¸¦ ¼±¾ðÇÏ´Â Á¶¾à(¡®Ä̷α×-ºê¸®¾Ó Á¶¾à¡¯) ü°áÀ» ÁÖµµÇßÁö¸¸, ¹Ì±¹°ú À¯·´ÀÌ ÀϺ»°ú µ¶ÀÏÀÇ È®ÀåÀ» °ÅÀÇ ÀúÁöÇÏÁö ¾Ê´Â ¹Ù¶÷¿¡ ÀϺ»ÀÌ Áß±¹À» ħ°øÇß°í 10³â µÚ ¿ª»ç»ó °¡Àå ÆÄ±«ÀûÀÎ ¼¼°è ´ëÀü ¹ß¹ß·Î À̾îÁ³´Ù¡±´Â ¿¹¸¦ µé¾ú½À´Ï´Ù.
[¸¶ÀÌŬ ±×¸° CSIS ¼±ÀӺμÒÀå / Àü ¹é¾Ç°ü ¼±ÀÓº¸Á°ü] ¡°In 1928 Secretary of State Kellogg and Foreign Minister Briand brokered an international treaty in Paris outlawing war. A decade later the most destructive world war in history began with Japan¡¯s attack on China because the United States and Europe did little to stop Japan and Germany from expanding.¡±
¿¡¹Ý½º ¸®ºñ¾î Àü ±¹¹«ºÎ µ¿¾Æ½Ã¾ÆÅÂÆò¾ç ´ã´ç ¼ö¼®ºÎÂ÷°üº¸´Â ¡°¹®ÀçÀÎ ´ëÅë·ÉÀÌ °Å²Ù·Î ¾Ë°í ÀÖ´Â °Í °°´Ù¡±¸ç ¡°Çѱ¹Àü Á¾Àü ¼±¾ðÀÌ Çѹݵµ¿¡¼ ºñÇÙÈ¿Í Ç×±¸Àû Æòȸ¦ Á¤Âø½ÃŰ´Â ¿¼è°¡ ¾Æ´Ï¶ó, ºÏÇÑ ºñÇÙȸ¦ ´Þ¼ºÇϰí Áö¼Ó °¡´ÉÇÑ Æòȸ¦ Á¤Âø½ÃŰ´Â °ÍÀÌ Çѱ¹ÀüÀïÀ» ¿µ±¸È÷ Á¾½Ä½Ã۱â À§ÇÑ ÇÊ¿äÁ¶°Ç¡±À̶ó°í ¸»Çß½À´Ï´Ù.
[¿¡¹Ý½º ¸®ºñ¾î Àü ±¹¹«ºÎ ¼ö¼®ºÎÂ÷°üº¸] ¡°With all respect, I think President Moon has it backwards: Declaring an end to the Korea War is not the key to achieving denuclearization and the establishment of a permanent peace on the Korean Peninsula. Achieving the denuclearization of North Korea and establishing a viable peace are the necessary conditions for permanently ending the Korean War.¡±
¸®ºñ¾î Àü ¼ö¼®ºÎÂ÷°üº¸´Â ¡°ºÏÇÑÀÌ ³²ºÏÇÑ ±¹¹ÎÀ» ÀÚ±¹ ÁÖµµÇÏ¿¡ ÅëÇÕÇϰí Çѱ¹À» Á¦°ÅÇÏ·Á´Â °ÍÀÌ ³²ºÏ °£ Àû´ë°¨À» ÀÏÀ¸Å°´Â Åä´ë¡±¶ó¸ç ¡°´ÜÁö Á¾Àü ¼±¾ðÀ» ÇÑ´Ù°í ÇØ¼ ÀÌ·± ±Ùº»Àû Åä´ë°¡ Á¸ÀçÇÑ´Ù´Â »ç½ÇÀ» Áö¿ö¹ö¸± ¼ö´Â ¾ø´Ù¡±°í ÁöÀûÇß½À´Ï´Ù.
[¿¡¹Ý½º ¸®ºñ¾î Àü ±¹¹«ºÎ ¼ö¼®ºÎÂ÷°üº¸] ¡°Simply declaring that the war has ended does not eliminate the fact that the basis for hostility between the two Koreas -- i.e., Pyongyang's determination to unify the Korean people under its flag and eliminate the Republic of Korea -- still exists.¡±
¡°ºÏÇÑÀÇ ÇÙ¹«±â º¸À¯¿Í »ç½Ç»óÀÇ ÇÙ¹«Àå±¹ ÁöÀ§´Â Àû´ëÀû ºÐÀ§±â¿Í Ãæµ¹ °¡´É¼ºÀ» ¾ÕÀ¸·Îµµ ¿À·§µ¿¾È Áö¼Ó½Ãų °ÍÀ̸ç, ÀÌ ÇÙ¹«±â´Â ºÏÇÑÀÇ ÅëÀÏ ¸ñÇ¥¿¡ µû¶ó Çѱ¹À» À§ÇùÇÏ°í ¾Ð¹ÚÇÏ´Â ¼ö´ÜÀ¸·Î ±â´ÉÇÒ °Í¡±À̶ó´Â ¼³¸íÀÔ´Ï´Ù.
°Ô´Ù°¡ ¡°¹Ì±¹Àº Çѱ¹ÀüÀÌ ³¡³µ´Ù°í ±×Àú ¡®¼±¾ð¡¯ÇÒ ¼ö ¾ø´Ù¡±¸ç, ¡°±×·± ¼±¾ðÀº ´Ù¸¥ Á¶Ä¡µéÀÌ µû¸£Áö ¾Ê´Â ÇÑ ÁøÁ¤ÇÑ Àǹ̰¡ ¾ø´Ù¡±°í °Á¶Çß½À´Ï´Ù. ±¸Ã¼ÀûÀ¸·Î´Â, ¡°¹Ì±¹Àº ±³Àü±¹ Áß ÇÑ ³ª¶óÀÎ ¸¸Å, ¸ðµç ÀüÀï ´ç»ç±¹µéÀÌ ÇöÀçÀÇ Á¤ÀüÇùÁ¤À» ´ëüÇÒ ÆòÈÁ¶¾à ü°á µî °ø½Ä Á¾Àü ¹æ¾È¿¡ ÇÕÀÇÇØ¾ß ÇÑ´Ù¡±´Â Á¶°ÇÀ» µé¾ú½À´Ï´Ù.
[¿¡¹Ý½º ¸®ºñ¾î Àü ±¹¹«ºÎ ¼ö¼®ºÎÂ÷°üº¸] ¡°The United States cannot simply "declare" that the Korean War has ended. Such a declaration would be devoid of real meaning unless other steps were taken. The U.S. was only one of several combatants in the war, and it would be necessary for all the combatants to reach an agreement on how to formally end the conflict, including by signing a peace treaty that would replace the current armistice agreement. It is impossible for me to believe that the United States would be prepared to conclude such a "peace" while North Korea remains a de facto nuclear weapons state, threatening not only the ROK, but also the East Asia region and the United States itself.¡±
±×·¯¸é¼ ¡°ºÏÇÑÀÌ »ç½Ç»óÀÇ ÇÙº¸À¯±¹À¸·Î ³²¾Æ¼ Çѱ¹»Ó ¾Æ´Ï¶ó µ¿¾Æ½Ã¾Æ Áö¿ª°ú ¹Ì±¹À» À§ÇùÇÏ´Â »óȲ¿¡¼ ¹Ì±¹ÀÌ ±×·± Á¾·ùÀÇ ¡®ÆòÈ¡¯¿¡ ÇÕÀÇÇÒ Áغñ°¡ µÅ ÀÖ´Ù°í ¹ÏÁö ¾Ê´Â´Ù¡±°í ¸»Çß½À´Ï´Ù.
¸®ºñ¾î Àü ¼ö¼®ºÎÂ÷°üº¸´Â ¡°ºÏÇÑÀÌ À̵û±Ý Á¾Àü¼±¾ð¿¡ ´ëÇÑ °ü½ÉÀ» ¾Ï½ÃÇØ¿ÔÁö¸¸, ¹Ì-ÇÑ µ¿¸Í°ú ÁÖÇѹ̱º, ±×¸®°í Ãæµ¹ ½Ã ºÏÇÑÀ» °Ü³ÉÇÒ ¹Ì±¹ÀÇ Àü¼ú¡¤Àü·« ¹«±âÀÇ Á¸Àç¶ó´Â ºÏÇÑÀÇ ½ÇÁúÀû ¿ì·Á¸¦ ÇØ¼ÒÇØÁÖÁö ¾Ê´Â ÇÑ ±×·± ¼±¾ðÀº °øÇãÇÑ ¼º¸í¿¡ ºÒ°úÇÏ´Ù´Â »ç½ÇÀ» ºÏÇѵµ ÀÌÇØÇϰí ÀÖ´Ù¡±°í ¼³¸íÇß½À´Ï´Ù.
[¿¡¹Ý½º ¸®ºñ¾î Àü ±¹¹«ºÎ ¼ö¼®ºÎÂ÷°üº¸] ¡°Although Pyongyang has occasionally hinted at interest in an end-of-war declaration, this interest has largely evaporated. The DPRK understands that such a declaration would be a largely empty statement unless it addressed North Korea's real concern, i.e., the existence of the U.S.-ROK alliance, the presence of U.S. troops in the ROK, and the U.S. tactical and strategic weapons that could be brought to bear against the North in the event of a conflict.¡±
¸®ºñ¾î Àü ¼ö¼®ºÎÂ÷°üº¸´Â ¡°ºÏÇÑÀÇ ¸ñÇ¥´Â ÀüÀïÀ» ¡®Á¾½Ä¡¯ÇÏ´Â °ÍÀÌ ¾Æ´Ï¶ó, ¹Ì-ÇÑ µ¿¸ÍÀ» Á¾½ÄÇÏ°í ºÏÇÑ¿¡ ´ëÇÑ ¹Ì±¹ÀÇ ¹«·Â »ç¿ë °¡´É¼ºÀ» Á¦°ÅÇÏ´Â °Í¡±À̶ó°í °Á¶Çß½À´Ï´Ù.
[¿¡¹Ý½º ¸®ºñ¾î Àü ±¹¹«ºÎ ¼ö¼®ºÎÂ÷°üº¸] ¡°Pyongyang's goal is not the "end" of the war; it wants to end the U.S.-ROK alliance and remove the possibility that the United States could use force against the DPRK.¡±
·Î¹öÆ® °¥·çÄ¡ Àü ¹Ì±¹ ±¹¹«ºÎ ºÏÇ٠Ư»ç´Â ¡°Çѱ¹-ºÏÇÑ-¹Ì±¹ °£ Çѱ¹Àü °ø½Ä Á¾Àü ÇÕÀÇ´Â ³²ºÏÇѰú ¹ÌºÏ °ü°è Á¤»óÈ ÀýÂ÷ÀÇ Áß¿äÇÑ ºÎºÐÀ̸ç, °ü°è Á¤»óȸ¦ À§Çؼ± ºÏÇÑÀÌ ÇÙ¹«±â ÇÁ·Î±×·¥À» Æó±âÇϰí ÇÙÈ®»ê±ÝÁöÁ¶¾à(NPT)À¸·Î º¹±ÍÇÏ´Â °ÍÀÌ ÇÊ¿äÇÏ´Ù¡±°í ÁöÀûÇß½À´Ï´Ù.
[·Î¹öÆ® °¥·çÄ¡ Àü ±¹¹«ºÎ ºÏÇ٠Ư»ç] ¡°I think that an ROK-DPRK-US agreement to formally end the Korean War would be an important part of the process of normalizing relations between North and South Korea and between the North and the US. And I think normalization requires an end to the DPRK's nuclear weapons program and its return to the NPT. A permanent peace regime would mean all this and more -- trade, free movement of people and goods, economic investment and all the other interconnections we expect among nations in a globalized world.¡±
¶ÇÇÑ ¡°Ç×±¸Àû ÆòÈüÁ¦¶õ ÀÌ ¸ðµç °Íµé°ú ÇÔ²² ´õ ¸¹Àº °ÍµéÀ» ÀǹÌÇÑ´Ù¡±¸ç, ¡°¹«¿ª, »ç¶÷°ú ¹°ÀÚÀÇ ÀÚÀ¯·Î¿î À̵¿, °æÁ¦Àû ÅõÀÚ, ±×¸®°í ¼¼°èÈµÈ ¼¼»óÀÇ ±¹°¡ °£ ¿¹»óµÇ´Â ´Ù¸¥ »óÈ£ ¿¬°á µîÀÌ Æ÷ÇԵȴ١±°í ¸»Çß½À´Ï´Ù.
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[·Î¹öÆ® °¥·çÄ¡ Àü ±¹¹«ºÎ ºÏÇ٠Ư»ç] ¡°The challenge, of course, is sequencing. As soon as we start to talk about formally ending the Korean War, we ask about the sanctions on North Korea, and then we ask about the process of disbanding its nuclear weapons program and maybe steps to address human rights concerns. All this suggests to some of us that the best way forward is step by step, rather than waiting to make some grand bargain.¡±
°¥·çÄ¡ Àü Ư»ç´Â ¡°ÀÌ ¸ðµç °ÍµéÀ» °í·ÁÇÒ ¶§, ÇÑ ¹ø¿¡ ¸ðµç ¹®Á¦¸¦ ÇØ°áÇÏ´Â ¡®±×·£µå¹Ù°Õ¡¯ º¸´Ù ´Ü°èÀû Á¢±ÙÀÌ ÃÖ¼±ÀÇ ÁøÀü ¹æ¾È¡±À̶ó°í Á¦¾ÈÇß½À´Ï´Ù.
¡°µû¶ó¼ ¹®ÀçÀÎ ´ëÅë·ÉÀÇ Á¾Àü¼±¾ð Á¦¾ÈÀº ÁÁÀº °ÍÀÌÁö¸¸, ÀÌ´Â ÇÙ¹«±â °ü·Ã »ç¾È µî ÇöÀçÀÇ Ãæµ¹ »óȲ¿¡ ´ëÇÑ ÇØ¹ýÀ» ÇâÇÑ ´Ù¸¥ ¿òÁ÷ÀÓ°ú ¿¬°èÇØ¾ß ÇÑ´Ù¡±°í ¸»Çß½À´Ï´Ù.
[·Î¹öÆ® °¥·çÄ¡ Àü ±¹¹«ºÎ ºÏÇ٠Ư»ç] ¡°So, President Moon's suggestion is a good one -- let's agree to formally end the korean war -- but let's connect it to other moves towards resolution of the existing situation of conflict, presumably one in the area of nuclear weapons. If the formal step to end the war is taken alone, I would be concerned that the importance of the move would be lost.¡±
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