ÃÖ±Ù ÁÖÇѹ̱º»ç·É°üµéÀÌ ÀÕ´Þ¾Æ ¹Ì-ÇÑ ¿¬ÇÕ±º»çÈÆ·Ã Àç°³¸¦ Ã˱¸ÇÑ µ¥ ÀÌ¾î ¿ö½ÌÅÏ¿¡¼´Â ¿¬ÇÕÈÆ·ÃÀÇ Á߿伺°ú Àü¸é Àç°³ Çʿ伺À» °Á¶ÇÏ´Â ¸ñ¼Ò¸®°¡ Ä¿Áö°í ÀÖ½À´Ï´Ù. ±º»ç Àü¹®°¡µéÀº ƯÈ÷ ¿Ã 8¿ù²² ¿¬ÇÕÈÆ·ÃÀÌ Àç°³µÉ °æ¿ì Àü½ÃÀÛÀüÅëÁ¦±Ç ÀüȯÀ» ´ëºñÇÑ Áغñ°¡ ¾Æ´Ñ ¿¬ÇÕ´ëºñż¼ Á¡°Ë¿¡ ¿ì¼± ¼øÀ§¸¦ µÖ¾ß ÇÑ´Ù°í Ã˱¸Çß½À´Ï´Ù. ¹é¼º¿ø ±âÀÚ°¡ º¸µµÇÕ´Ï´Ù.
Å丶½º ÄÁÆ®¸®¸Ç Àü ±¹¹«ºÎ ±¹Á¦¾Èº¸¡¤ºñÈ®»ê´ã´ç Â÷°ü´ëÇàÀº ¡°Áö±ÝÀÌ Àü¸éÀûÀÎ ¹Ì-ÇÑ ±º»çÈÆ·ÃÀ» Àç°³Çϱ⿡ Àû±â¡±¶ó¸ç ¡°¿¬ÇÕÈÆ·ÃÀº ÀüÅõÁغñ ż¼¸¦ À¯ÁöÇÏ´Â µ¥ Áß¿äÇÑ ¿ªÇÒÀ» ÇÏ°í Çö½ÃÁ¡¿¡¼ ºÏÇÑ¿¡ ±ÍÁßÇÑ ½ÅÈ£¸¦ º¸³¾ °Í¡±À̶ó°í ³»´ÙºÃ½À´Ï´Ù.
[Å丶½º ÄÁÆ®¸®¸Ç Àü ±¹¹«ºÎ Â÷°ü´ëÇà] ¡°This would be a good time to resume full-scale US-ROK military exercises, which play an important role in maintaining combat readiness, and which could prove a valuable signal to the DPRK at this time.
·Î·»½º ÄÚºê Àü ±¹¹æºÎ Â÷°üº¸µµ ºÏÇÑÀÌ ±¹³»¿Ü ¿©·¯ ¹®Á¦·Î Å« ¾î·Á¿ò¿¡ óÇØÀÖ´Â ¸¸Å ¹Ì-ÇÑ ¿¬ÇÕÈÆ·Ã Àç°³ÀÇ È¿°ú°¡ Ŭ °ÍÀ̶ó°í Æò°¡Çß½À´Ï´Ù.
[·Î·»½º ÄÚºê Àü ±¹¹æºÎ Â÷°üº¸]¡°They need to do the military exercises which they postpone for a while...I do think that really time is on the side of the South Koreans and the U.S. right now¡¦¡±
ºÏÇÑ ÁöµµºÎ°¡ º¸¿©ÁÖ´Â ÅëÄ¡ ¹æ½ÄÀ̳ª Äڷγª¹ÙÀÌ·¯½º °¨¿°ÁõÀ¸·Î ÀÎÇÑ ºÏÇÑÀÇ Ãë¾à¼ºÀ» °í·ÁÇÒ ¶§ ½Ã°£Àº Çѱ¹°ú ¹Ì±¹ ÆíÀ̸ç, µû¶ó¼ ¡°¹Ì-ÇÑ ¿¬ÇÕÈÆ·ÃÀ» Àç°³ÇØ¾ß ÇÑ´Ù¡±´Â °Ì´Ï´Ù. ¾Õ¼ ¹Ì±¹°ú Çѱ¹Àº Áö³ÇØ ¡°À»ÁöÇÁ¸®´ý°¡µð¾ð¡¯, ¡®Å°¸®Á¹ºê, ¡®µ¶¼ö¸®ÈƷᯠµî ±âÁ¸ ´ë±Ô¸ð ¿¬ÇÕÈÆ·ÃÀ» ÆóÁöÇÏ°í Àü¹Ý±â¿¡ ¡®µ¿¸Í 19-1¡¯, ÈĹݱ⿡ ¡®¿¬ÇÕÁöÈÖ¼ÒÈƷᯠµî ±Ô¸ð°¡ Ãà¼ÒµÈ ´ëüÈÆ·ÃÀ» ½Ç½ÃÇÑ ¹Ù ÀÖ½À´Ï´Ù.
µ¥À̺ñµå ¸Æ½ºÀ£ ¹ÎÁÖÁÖÀǼöÈ£Àç´Ü(FDD) ¼±ÀÓ¿¬±¸¿øÀº ¡°Çѹ̿¬ÇÕ»ç·ÉºÎ°¡ 2018³â ÀÌ·¡ ´ë±Ô¸ð ±º»çÈÆ·ÃÀ» ½Ç½ÃÇÏÁö ¾Ê°í ÀÖ´Ù¡±¸ç ±×³ª¸¶ ÇÏÇâ Á¶Á¤µÈ ÈƷõµ Àü½ÃÀÛÀüÅëÁ¦±Ç ÀüȯÀ» À§ÇÑ ¿¬ÇÕ°ËÁõ Æò°¡¿¡ ¹«°Ô¸¦ µÖ¿Ô´Ù°í ÁöÀûÇß½À´Ï´Ù.
[µ¥À̺ñµå ¸Æ½ºÀ£ FDD ¼±ÀÓ¿¬±¸¿ø]¡°The ROK/US CFC has not conducted a major exercise since 2018. The Feb/Mar exercise this year was cancelled and the August 2019 exercises focused on the Initial Operating Capability (IOC).¡±
¡°2~3¿ù(Àü¹Ý±â) ÈÆ·ÃÀº Ãë¼ÒµÆ°í Áö³ÇØ 8¿ù ÈÆ·ÃÀº ¡®Ãʵµ¿î¿ë´É·Â(IOC)¡¯¿¡ ÁýÁßÇß´Ù¡±´Â ¼³¸íÀÔ´Ï´Ù. ¸Æ½ºÀ£ ¿¬±¸¿øÀº ¡°¿À´Â 8¿ù ¹Ì-ÇÑ ¿¬ÇÕÈÆ·ÃÀÌ ½Ç½ÃµÈ´Ù Çصµ, ÀüÀÛ±Ç ÀüȯÀ» À§ÇÑ ¿ÏÀü¿î¿ë´É·Â(FOC, Full Operational Capability) °ËÁõÆò°¡¿¡ ÃÊÁ¡À» ¸ÂÃâ °ÍÀÎÁö, ȤÀº ¿¬ÇÕ´ëºñż¼¿¡ ÃÊÁ¡À» ¸ÂÃâ °ÍÀÎÁö¿¡ ´ëÇÑ ¹®Á¦°¡ ³²´Â´Ù¡±°í ¸»Çß½À´Ï´Ù.
[µ¥À̺ñµå ¸Æ½ºÀ£ FDD ¼±ÀÓ¿¬±¸¿ø]¡°There is discussion about the Dong Meng exercise in August. The question is should it focus on the assessment of Full Operational Capability (FOC) in support of OPCON transition or should it focus on readiness of the ROK/US CFC.¡±
¹Ì-ÇÑ °£ ÀüÀÛ±Ç ÀüȯÀ» À§ÇÑ ¿¬ÇÕ°ËÁõÆò°¡´Â 3´Ü°è·Î ÀÌ·ïÁö¸ç, 1´Ü°è´Â Ãʵµ¿î¿ë´É·Â(IOC, Initial Operational Capability) °ËÁõÆò°¡, 2´Ü°è´Â ¿ÏÀü¿î¿ë´É·Â(FOC, Full Operational Capability) °ËÁõÆò°¡, 3´Ü°è´Â ¿ÏÀüÀÓ¹«¼öÇà´É·Â(FMC, Full Mission Capability) °ËÁõÆò°¡ ¼øÀ¸·Î ÁøÇàµË´Ï´Ù.
µÎ ³ª¶ó´Â Áö³ÇØ 8¿ù 1´Ü°è Ãʵµ¿î¿ë´É·Â(IOC) Æò°¡ ÈÆ·ÃÀ» ½Ç½ÃÇß°í, ¿Ã ÇϹݱ⿡´Â 2´Ü°è ¿ÏÀü¿î¿ë´É·Â(FOC) °ËÁõÆò°¡ ÈÆ·ÃÀ» ¾ÕµÎ°í ÀÖ½À´Ï´Ù. ÇÏÁö¸¸ ¸Æ½ºÀ£ ¿¬±¸¿øÀº ¡°Çѹ̿¬ÇÕ»ç·ÉºÎÀÇ Áغñż¼¸¦ Àü½ÃÀÛÀüÅëÁ¦±Ç Àüȯº¸´Ù ¿ì¼±½ÃÇØ¾ß ÇÑ´Ù¡±°í ¹àÇû½À´Ï´Ù.
[µ¥À̺ñµå ¸Æ½ºÀ£ FDD ¼±ÀÓ¿¬±¸¿ø]¡°Readiness of the ROK/US Combined Forces Command must take precedence over OPCON Transition.¡±
ÀÌ¾î ¡°Çѹ̿¬ÇÕ»ç·ÉºÎ´Â Çѱ¹ ¹æ¾î ¿¬½ÀÀ» ÃÖ¿ì¼±À¸·Î ½Ç½ÃÇÏ°í ¡®¿ÏÀü¿î¿ë´É·Â(FOC)¡¯Àº µÎ ¹ø° ¿ì¼±¼øÀ§¿¡ µÖ¾ß ÇÑ´Ù¡±¸ç ¡°µÑ ´Ù ÈÆ·ÃÇÒ ¼ö ÀÖÀ¸¸é ÁÁ°ÚÁö¸¸ ±×·¸°Ô ÇÒ ¼ö ¾ø´Ù¸é, Áغñż¼¸¦ Àü½ÃÀÛÀüÅëÁ¦±Ç Àüȯº¸´Ù ¿ìÀ§¿¡ µÖ¾ß ÇÑ´Ù¡±°í °Åµì °Á¶Çß½À´Ï´Ù.
[µ¥À̺ñµå ¸Æ½ºÀ£ FDD ¼±ÀÓ¿¬±¸¿ø] ¡°The command must exercise the defense plan for Korea as the top priority and conduct the FOC assessment is the second priority. If they can design the exercise to do both that will be good. However, if they cannot, the priority must be on readiness over OPCON transition.¡±
Àü¹®°¡µéÀº ±×·¯³ª ¹Ì Àü·«ÀÚ»êÀÇ Çѹݵµ ¹èÄ¡¿Í °ü·ÃÇؼ´Â ¿Âµµ Â÷¸¦ º¸¿´½À´Ï´Ù. ÄÁÆ®¸®¸Ç Àü Â÷°ü´ëÇàÀº ¡°¹Ì Àü·«ÀÚ»êÀÇ Çѹݵµ ¹èÄ¡´Â (ºÏÇÑÀÇ) µµ¹ß·Î ÃË¹ßµÈ ºñÀ̼ºÀû Á¶Ä¡°¡ µÉ °Í¡±À̶ó¸ç ¡®ºÏÇÑ¿¡ Áß¿äÇÑ ½ÅÈ£¸¦ º¸³»´Â ¸ñÀû¿¡ ºÎÇÕÇÏÁö ¾Ê´Â´Ù¡±°í ÀÏÃàÇß½À´Ï´Ù.
[Å丶½º ÄÁÆ®¸®¸Ç Àü ±¹¹«ºÎ Â÷°ü´ëÇà]¡°I do not believe deployment of strategic assets to the peninsula would serve a valuable signaling purpose at this time; I would put that in the category of ¡®getting provoked into irrational steps¡¯.¡±
¾Õ¼ ¹öÀ£ º§ Àü ÁÖÇѹ̱º»ç·É°üµµ ÃÖ±Ù VOA¿ÍÀÇ ÀÎÅͺ信¼ ¡°ÇÑ¹Ì ¾Èº¸ µ¿¸ÍÀÌ ÃæºÐÈ÷ ³ôÀº ¼öÁØÀÇ ¿¬ÇÕÈÆ·ÃÀ» Àç°³ÇØ¾ß ÇÑ´Ù¡±¸é¼µµ ¡°¹Ì±¹ÀÌ Çѱ¹ º»Åä¿¡ Àü±¸ÇÙ¹«±â(theater capable nuclear weaponry)¸¦ ¹èÄ¡ÇÏ´Â °ÍÀº ÀûÀýÇÏÁö ¾Ê´Ù°í ¹Ï´Â´Ù¡±°í ¸»Çß½À´Ï´Ù. ¡°ºÏÇÑ Àü Áö¿ªÀÇ ¸ñÇ¥¹°À» »çÁ¤±Ç ¾È¿¡ µÎ´Â ¹Ì±¹ÀÇ ÇÙ¿ì»êÀÌ Àß À¯ÁöµÇ°í ÀÖ´Â »óȲ¿¡¼ ºÒÇÊ¿äÇÑ Á¶Ä¡¡±¶ó´Â Áø´ÜÀÔ´Ï´Ù.
[¹öÀ£ º§ Àü ÁÖÇѹ̱º»ç·É°ü]¡°I do not believe it is correct for the United States to deploy theater capable nuclear weaponry to the South Korean mainland. It is not necessary as the United States nuclear umbrella remains well within range of all north Korean targets from its current offshore locations.¡±
ÇÏÁö¸¸ ¸Æ½ºÀ£ ¿¬±¸¿øÀº ¡°Àü·«Àû È®¾à°ú ÀÇÁö¸¦ º¸¿©ÁÖ±â À§ÇØ ¹Ì Àü·«ÀÚ»êÀÌ (Çѱ¹¿¡) ÁÖ±âÀûÀ¸·Î ¹èÄ¡µÅ¾ß ÇÑ´Ù¡±°í ÁÖÀåÇß½À´Ï´Ù.
[µ¥À̺ñµå ¸Æ½ºÀ£ FDD ¼±ÀÓ¿¬±¸¿ø]¡°They must be deployed periodically to demonstrate strategic reassurance and strategic resolve. Extended deterrence and the nuclear umbrella must be backed up with actions and not just words. We have to test the readiness of our crews to deploy to and operate in the Korean Theater of Operations and we have to send the right deterrence message to Kim Jong-un.
¸Æ½ºÀ£ ¿¬±¸¿øÀº ¡°(¹Ì±¹ÀÇ) È®Àå¾ïÁö·Â°ú ÇÙ¿ì»êÀº ¸»ÀÌ ¾Æ´Ï¶ó ÇൿÀ¸·Î µÞ¹ÞħµÅ¾ß ÇÑ´Ù¡±¸ç ¡°¿ì¸®´Â Çѱ¹ÀÇ ÀÛÀü Áö¿ªÀ¸·Î ÆİߵŠÀÛÀüÀ» ¼öÇàÇÏ´Â º´·ÂÀÇ Áغñż¼¸¦ Á¡°ËÇÏ°í ±èÁ¤Àº¿¡°Ô ÀûÀýÇÑ ¾ïÁö ¸Þ½ÃÁö¸¦ º¸³»¾ß ÇÑ´Ù¡±°í °Á¶Çß½À´Ï´Ù.