Banyan
67. Calling Kim Jong Il's bluff
Apr 23rd 2009 From The Economist print edition
Even if North Korea refuses to rejoin six-party talks, they can still have a useful function
67-1-317
NUCLEAR blackmail is an old trick of Kim Jong Il, North Korea's 68-year-old dictator, learnt at the knee of his father, Kim Il Sung. Since April 5th, and the launching of what North Korea said was a satellite but the rest of the world reckons was a failed missile, he has been at it again. North Korea expelled United Nations inspectors from its ageing reactor complex at Yongbyon and now declares itself no longer bound by the six-party process involving South Korea, China, Japan, Russia and the United States that was meant to lead to abandonment of its nuclear-weapons programmes, in return for aid and respect. After days of wrangling over the launch, the UN Security Council delivered no more than a light knuckle-rapping.
Yet North Korea professes to be insulted. It threatens to rebuild Yongbyon and start making weapons-grade plutonium again. This week, after its first talks with the South in more than a year farcically broke down after just 22 minutes, it accused the South of 'a vicious criminal act': the shifting of a border post. The chances of some sort of armed skirmish have risen.
A. ¾îÈÖ
bluff Àýº®, Çã¼¼. call a person's bluff (»ó´ë°¡ Çã¼¼·Î »ý°¢Çϰí)³²¿¡°Ô µµÀüÇÏ´Ù.
six-party talks ׿íºüåÓÈ(6ÀÚȸ´ã). function ±â´É. blackmail °ø°¥, Çù¹Ú.
dictator µ¶ÀçÀÚ. learn-learnt- learnt. knee ¹«¸. launching ¹ß»ç. satellite êÛàø(À§¼º).
reckon °£ÁÖÇÏ´Ù, Æò°¡ÇÏ´Ù, °è»êÇÏ´Ù. expel Ãß¹æÇÏ´Ù, ³» ÂÑ´Ù. inspector °¨µ¶°ü.
ageing reactor complex ÒÇý®(³ëÈÄ)µÈ ÇÙ¹ÝÀÀ·Î °øÀå°áÁý. cf. complex Ó¥ò¢(´ÜÁö).
declare ¼±¾ðÇÏ´Ù. bind-bound-bound áÖÚÚ(¼Ó¹Ú)ÇÏ´Ù. abandonment Æ÷±â.
nuclear weapon ÇÙ¹«±â. wrangle (°ÝÇÑ ¾îÁ¶·Î) ¾ðÀïÇÏ´Ù.
the UN Security Council À¯¿£ ¾ÈÀüº¸ÀåÀÌ»çȸ. deliver ÀϰÝÀ» °¡ÇÏ´Ù, ¾çµµÇÏ´Ù.
knuckle ¼Õ°¡¶ô °üÀý. rap ÅåÅå µÎµå¸®´Ù.
knuckle-rapping ¼Õ°¡¶ô¸¶µð·Î ÅåÅå Ä¡´Â °Í. profess ¼±¾ðÇÏ´Ù. insult ¸ð¿åÇÏ´Ù.
farcically áÅм(¼Ò±Ø)ó·³. accuse...of ºñ³ÇÏ´Ù, °í¹ßÇÏ´Ù. vicious ¾Ç´öÀÇ, ºñ³ÇÒ¸¸ÇÑ.
criminal act ¹üÁËÇàÀ§. border post ±¹°æÁÖµÐÁö. skirmish ¼Ò±Ô¸ð Ãæµ¹.
B. ±¸¹®
- learnt¡æwho was learnt
- Since April 5th, and . . . he has been at it again.
cf. at it (ÀÏ, ½Î¿ò¿¡) ¿ÁßÇÏ´Ù.
[4¿ù 5ÀÏ ÀÌÈÄ·Î, ºÏÇÑÀº À§¼ºÀ̶ó°í ÁÖÀåÇÏ°í ¼¼°èÀÇ ³ª¸ÓÁö´Â ½ÇÆÐÇÑ ¹Ì»çÀÏÀ̶ó°í Æò°¡ÇÏ´Â ¹Ì»çÀϹ߻ç ÀÌÈÄ·Î, ±èÁ¤ÀÏÀº ´Ù½Ã ½Î¿ò¿¡ ¿À» ¿Ã¸®°í ÀÖ´Ù.]
67-2-318
So far, so consistent with North Korea¡¯s traditional belligerence. Back in 1994 Bill Clinton promised aid and two light-water civilian reactors in return for closing Yongbyon, yet Mr Kim started new nuclear work. Promising to be less gullible, George Bush listed North Korea in his ¡°axis of evil¡±. Mr Kim merely redoubled his nuclear efforts, exploding a device inside a mountain in October 2006, despite a 2005 agreement to denuclearise. Mr Bush¡¯s envoys suggested more talks. Having already sold Yongbyon twice, to both Mr Clinton and Mr Bush, Mr Kim presumably intends to sell it a third time, to Barack Obama.
Yet if the aim was to engage Mr Obama on Mr Kim¡¯s terms, it has backfired. That is partly because the launch failed, despite North Korea¡¯s claims that its satellite is beaming back chirpy revolutionary songs. This is its third long-distance missile testall flops. Though North Korea¡¯s short- and medium-range missiles threaten South Korea and Japan, it is far from having a deterrent to any American nuclear attack. Its only nuclear explosion was thought a damp squib. Miniaturising nuclear warheads is hard, and the North has enough plutonium for just ten or so nuclear devices. Reprocessing the remaining spent fuel rods at Yongbyon would give it one more bomb. In this sense only, more nuclear tests would actually help, by using up what plutonium is left.
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consistent ½ÃÁ¾Àϰü µÈ. traditional ÀüÅëÀûÀÎ. belligerence û¿îúàõ(È£Àü¼º).
light-water civilian reactors ÚÅâÍéÄ(¹Î¼ö¿ë) Ìîâ©ÖÓ(°æ¼ö·Î).
gullible ¼Ó±â ½¬¿î. explode Æø¹ß½ÃŰ´Ù. device (ÇÙ½ÇÇè)ÀåÄ¡. despite ...¿¡µµ ºÒ±¸Çϰí.
envoy ÷åÞÅ(Ư»ç), ÍëÞÅ(°ø»ç). presumably ÃßÃøÄÁ´ë, ¾Æ¸¶.
engage ²ø¾îµéÀÌ´Ù, °í¿ëÇÏ´Ù. term Á¶°Ç. backfire ¿¹»ó°ú ¾î±ß³ °á°ú¸¦ ÃÊ·¡ÇÏ´Ù.
beam ¹«¼±À» º¸³»´Ù, ¹æ¼ÛÇÏ´Ù. chirpy ÄèȰÇÑ, ÀçÀ߰Ÿ®´Â. flop ½ÇÆÐÇÏ´Ù.
far from = never. deterrent (ÀüÀï¿¡ ´ëÇÑ) åäòÕô(¾ïÁö·Â), ´Ü³äÄÉ ÇÏ´Â °Í.
explosion Æø¹ß. damp ½À±â Âù, ±â¿îÀÌ ¾ø´Â. squib øïñÓ(ÆøÁ×).
miniaturise ¼ÒÇüÈÇÏ´Ù. warhead ÷¥Ôé(źµÎ). reprocess Àçó¸®ÇÏ´Ù.
spent ´Ù ½á¹ö¸°. fuel rods æ×ÖùÜê(¿¬·áºÀ).
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