ºÏÇÑ Àá¼öÇÔ°ú źµµ¹Ì»çÀÏ ¿ª·®ÀÌ ÀçÁ¶¸íµÇ°í ÀÖ´Â °¡¿îµ¥, Àü¹®°¡µéÀº ÇÑ-ÀÏ ±º»çÁ¤º¸º¸È£ÇùÁ¤, Áö¼Ò¹Ì¾Æ°¡ Á¾·áµÉ °æ¿ì ºÏÇÑÀÇ Àá¼öÇÔ Å½Áö¿¡ Å« ¾î·Á¿òÀ» °ÞÀ» ¼ö ÀÖ´Ù°í °æ°íÇß½À´Ï´Ù. ±èµ¿Çö ±âÀÚ°¡ ÃëÀçÇß½À´Ï´Ù.
Á¸ Èú ¹Ì»çÀϹæ¾îûÀåÀº ¾Õ¼ Áö³ 7ÀÏ ¿ö½ÌÅÏÀÇ Àü·«±¹Á¦¹®Á¦¿¬±¸¼Ò(CSIS) °¿¬¿¡¼ ¡°ºÏÇÑÀÇ Àá¼öÇԹ߻çźµµ¹Ì»çÀÏÀÌ ¿Ï¼ºµÆ´Ù°í ÇÏ´õ¶óµµ, ¹Ì±¹°ú µ¿¸ÍÀÇ Àá¼öÇÔ ¿ª·®¿¡ ³ôÀº ½Å·Ú¸¦ °®°í ÀÖ´Ù¡±¸ç ¡°ÃæºÐÈ÷ ¾ïÁö °¡´ÉÇÏ´Ù ¹Ï´Â´Ù¡±°í ¾ð±ÞÇÑ ¹Ù ÀÖ½À´Ï´Ù.
[Á¸ Èú ûÀå] ¡°Also I have high faith in the US. And the allies submarine forces that if something like that were to emerge over time that we'd be able to hold it back. So I'm less concerned about the platform¡±
ÇÏÁö¸¸ Àü¹®°¡µéÀº ÇÑ-ÀÏ ±º»çÁ¤º¸º¸È£ÇùÁ¤, Áö¼Ò¹Ì¾Æ°¡ ÆÄ±âµÈ´Ù¸é, ´ëÀá¼öÇÔ Å½Áö ¿ª·®¿¡ Ä¡¸íÀûÀÎ Àå¾Ö°¡ µÈ´Ù°í ¿ì·ÁÇÕ´Ï´Ù. ¹Ì ÇØ±ºÂü¸ð´ëÇÐ ±³¼ö °â 'J.C¿ÍÀϸ® ÇØ¾çÀü·«' ¼®ÁÂÀÎ Á¦ÀÓ½º ȨÁî ¹Ú»ç´Â 8ÀÏ VOA¿ÍÀÇ ¼¸é ÀÎÅͺ信¼ »ç°ßÀÓÀ» ÀüÁ¦·Î ¡°Áö¼Ò¹Ì¾Æ Á¾·á´Â (´ëÀá¼öÇÔ) ÀÛÀü ¸é¿¡¼ ¹Ì-ÇÑ-ÀÏ ¼¼ ³ª¶ó ¸ðµÎ¿¡ ½É°¢ÇÑ ¼Õ»óÀ» ³¢Ä£´Ù¡±°í ¹àÇû½À´Ï´Ù.
[Á¦ÀÓ½º ȨÁî ±³¼ö] ¡°If Seoul and Tokyo have to exchange information through U.S. interlocutor, we are setting ourselves up for delays, misunderstandings and operational inefficiencies that could damage all of our interest-Korean and Japanese as well as American¡±
¹Ì-ÇÑ, ¹Ì-ÀÏ °£ ¾çÀÚ Á¤º¸ °øÀ¯Ã¼°è·Î´Â ½Ã°£ ³¶ºñ, Âø¿À, ÀÛÀüÀÇ ºñÈ¿À²¼ºÀ» ¾ß±âÇϱ⠶§¹®¿¡ ÇÑ-ÀÏ ¾ç±¹ÀÇ ´ëÀá Àü·ÂÀÇ ¼ÒÅëÀº ¸Å¿ì Áß¿äÇÏ´Ù´Â ¼³¸íÀÔ´Ï´Ù. ƯÈ÷ ¡°´ëÀá¼öÇÔÀüÀº ¡®¹Ù´Ù¡¯¿¡¼ ¿î¿ëµÇ´Â ÀÛÀü ȯ°æ Ư¼º ¶§¹®¿¡ ¼öÁß¿¡ ÀÖ´Â ÀûÀ» ŽÁöÇϰí ÃßÀûÇϱ⠾î·Á¿ï »Ó ¾Æ´Ï¶ó ´ëÀá¼öÇÔ ºÎ´ë °£, ¶Ç´Â ÀÛÀü ±ÇÇÑÀ» °®°í ÀÖ´Â »ç·ÉºÎ °£ ±³½Åµµ ¾î·Á¿î ±â¼ú °úÇÐ ºÐ¾ß¡±¶ó°í Æò°¡Çß½À´Ï´Ù.
[Á¦ÀÓ½º ȨÁî ±³¼ö] ¡°This is especially true if all three navies are trying to conduct anti-submarine warfare(ASW) operations in these waters. ASW is an especially difficult art and science because of the nature of the operating medium: water. Detecting, tracking and presecuting undersea targets is hard enough, but it is also hard for ASW units to communicate among themselves or with shore commands that have authority over them.
ÀÌ¾î ¡°ÇرºÀÌ °¢ Àá¼öÇÔ¿¡ ƯÁ¤ ±¸°£À» ÇÒ´çÇØ ¼øÂûÇϵµ·Ï Çϰí ÀÌ ±¸¿ª¿¡ ´Ù¸¥ Àá¼öÇÔµéÀÌ ÁøÀÔÇÏÁö ¸øÇÏ°Ô ÇÏ´Â ¡®¼ö¿ª °ü¸®¡¯¸¦ °Á¶ÇÏ´Â °ÍÀº ÀÌ ¶§¹®À̶ó°í ¹àÇû½À´Ï´Ù. ±×·¸Áö ¾ÊÀ» °æ¿ì ÀûÀ¸·Î ¿ÀÀÎÇØ ¾Æ±º³¢¸® ¾î·Ú¸¦ ¹ß»çÇÏ´Â »çŰ¡ ¹ß»ýÇÒ ¼ö Àֱ⠶§¹®¿¡ ƯÈ÷ ¼öÁß ÀÛÀü¿¡¼ µ¿¸Í±¹ ÁöÈֺΰ£ ±ä¹ÐÇÑ °øÁ¶´Â ¸Å¿ì Áß¿äÇÏ´Ù¡±´Â °Ì´Ï´Ù.
[Á¦ÀÓ½º ȨÁî ±³¼ö] ¡°That is why place such emphasis on ¡®waterspace management¡¯ assigning each submarine a defined sector to patrol and forbidding other subs from entering that sector. Otherwise we could have friendly subs firing on one another instead of hunting the ¡®red team¡¯, the DPRK Navy or perhaps PLA Navy. As you can see, smooth coordination among allies commanders is at a premium in the undersea realm¡±
±×·¯¸é¼ ÇÑ-ÀÏ ¾ç±¹ÀÌ Á÷Á¢ Á¤º¸ ±³·ù¸¦ ÇÏÁö ¾ÊÀ» °æ¿ì ¹ß»ýÇÒ ¼ö ÀÖ´Â ½É°¢ÇÑ ¹®Á¦ÀÇ »ç·Ê·Î µ¶µµ ¿µÀ¯±ÇÀ» µÑ·¯½Ñ ¾çÃøÀÇ ¹«·Â Ãæµ¹ °¡´É¼ºÀ» Á¦½ÃÇß½À´Ï´Ù.
¶ÇÇÑ ¹Ì±¹ÀÇ ´ëÀá¼öÇÔÀü ¿ª·®À» ½ÅºÀÇϴ ŵµµµ ºÏÇÑ Àá¼öÇÔÀÇ À§ÇùÀ» ¾ïÁ¦Çϴµ¥ ¹®Á¦°¡ µÉ ¼ö ÀÖ´Ù°í ÁöÀûÇß½À´Ï´Ù. ºÏÇÑÀÇ Àá¼öÇÔÀÌ »ó´ëÀûÀ¸·Î ³ëÈÄµÈ °ÍÀº »ç½ÇÀ̳ª, ¹Ì±¹ÀÇ ´ëÀá¼öÇÔÀü ´É·ÂÀº ³ÃÀü Á¾½Ä ÀÌÈÄ ´õ ÀÌ»ó ¼öÁß¿¡¼ °¡°øÇÒ »ó´ë¸¦ ¸¸³¯ ÀÏÀÌ ¾øÀ» °ÍÀ̶ó´Â ÀÎ½Ä ¶§¹®¿¡ Á¤Ã¼µÆ°í, ºÏÇÑ Àá¼öÇÔÀÌ ´ëÀá¼öÇÔ Å½Áö¿Í ÃßÀûÀ» ȸÇÇÇÒ °¡´É¼ºÀº ÃæºÐÈ÷ ÀÖ´Ù´Â ¼³¸íÀÔ´Ï´Ù.
[Á¦ÀÓ½º ȨÁî ±³¼ö] ¡°We should not be too triumphal about our ASW capability. Yes, it is true that North Korean subs are relatively backward, but it is also true that the U.S. Navy let its ASW capability languish after the Cold War in the belief that we would never again face another serious undersea rival. So in effect you have an adversary who doesn¡¯t compare to the Soviet Navy facing off against a U.S. Navy whose ASW proficiency is no longer what is once was. Who prevails in such circumstances? I would hesitate to bet one way or the other
ȨÁî ±³¼ö´Â ºÏÇÑ Àá¼öÇÔ ¶Ç´Â ¼±¹Ú ÃßÀû¿¡´Â °ü·Ã ¼ö¿ªÀÇ ÁöÇüÀ» °¡Àå Àß ¾Ë°í ÀÖ´Â Çѱ¹ ÇØ±º°ú ÀϺ» ÇØ»ó ÀÚÀ§´ë°¡ ÃÖÀûÀÇ ¿ª·®À» º¸À¯Çϰí ÀÖ´Ù¸ç, À̵鰣ÀÇ ºÒÈ´Â °øÁ¶ ÀÛÀü¿¡ Ä¡¸íÀûÀ̶ó°í µ¡ºÙ¿´½À´Ï´Ù.
¾Õ¼ ¹Ì-ÇÑ-ÀÏ 3±¹Àº Áö¼Ò¹Ì¾Æ ü°á Á÷ÈÄÀÎ 2017³â 4¿ù, Á¦ÁÖµµ Àαٿ¡¼ óÀ½À¸·Î ¿¬ÇÕ ´ëÀá¼öÇÔÀü ÈÆ·ÃÀ» ½Ç½ÃÇÑ ¹Ù ÀÖ½À´Ï´Ù. ¹«¶ó³ë ¸¶»çÈ÷ Çãµå½¼¿¬±¸¼Ò ¿¬±¸¿øÀº VOA¿¡ ÇÑ-ÀÏ °£ Áö¼Ò¹Ì¾Æ°¡ Á¾·áµÈ´Ù¸é, ¹Ì-ÇÑ-ÀÏ ¼¼ ³ª¶óÀÇ ¿¬ÇÕ ´ëÀá¼öÇÔÀüÀ» ½Ç½ÃÇÒ ¼ö ÀÖ´Â ¹ýÀû ±Ù°Å°¡ ¾ø¾îÁø´Ù°í ÁÖÀåÇß½À´Ï´Ù.
Çѱ¹ Á¤ºÎ°¡ Áö¼Ò¹Ì¾Æ ´ë¾ÈÀ¸·Î Á¦½ÃÇÑ ¹Ì-ÇÑ-ÀÏ Á¤º¸°øÀ¯ ¾àÁ¤(TISA) ¹üÀ§´Â ºÏÇÑÀÇ ÇÙ°ú ¹Ì»çÀÏ È°µ¿¿¡¸¸ Á¦ÇѵDZ⠶§¹®¿¡ ´ëÀá¼öÇÔ ÀÛÀüÀº ÇØ´çµÇÁö ¾Ê´Â´Ù´Â ¼³¸íÀÔ´Ï´Ù.
[¹«¶ó³ë ¸¶»çÈ÷ ¿¬±¸¿ø] ¡°TISA covers only North Korea's nuclear and missile activities, not a comprehensive one. That is why North Korea's SLBM launch should remind us of the importance of GSOMIA... North Korea's submarines are technically old and noisy, and if they were moving, we would easily detect them. However, North Korea has already understand it. Therefore, NK's missile submarines would stop as soon as they set sail and wait for the timing of a launch while hiding in the bottom of the Sea of Japan. It is very difficult to detect a submarine that has stopped moving¡±
¹«¶ó³ë ¿¬±¸¿øÀº ƯÈ÷ ºÏÇÑÀÇ Àá¼öÇÔÀº ±¸ÇüÀÌ¾î¼ À̵¿ÇÒ °æ¿ì ½±°Ô ŽÁöµÇÁö¸¸, ºÏÇѵµ À̰°Àº »ç½ÇÀ» Àß ¾Ë±â ¶§¹®¿¡ À̵¿À» ¸ØÃá »óÅ¿¡¼ ½ò ¼ö ÀÖµµ·Ï Àá¼öÇԹ߻çźµµ¹Ì»çÀÏ »ç°Å¸®¸¦ ´Ã¸®´Âµ¥ ÁÖ·ÂÇϰí ÀÖ´Ù°í Æò°¡Çß½À´Ï´Ù. ¶§¹®¿¡ ºÏÇÑ Àá¼öÇÔÀÇ ÃâÇ× ¼ø°£ºÎÅÍ ¼¼ ³ª¶ó°¡ ÃßÀû Á¤º¸¸¦ °øÀ¯ÇÒ ¼ö Àִ ü°è°¡ ±Ã±ØÀûÀ¸·Î´Â Àá¼öÇԹ߻çźµµ¹Ì»çÀÏ ¾ïÁ¦¿¡ Çʼö¶ó´Â ¼³¸íÀÔ´Ï´Ù.
ºê·ç½º º£³Ý ·£µå¿¬±¸¼Ò ¼±ÀÓ¿¬±¸¿øÀº VOA¿¡ ºÏÇÑ Àá¼öÇÔÀ» °¡Àå ¸ÕÀú ¹ß°ßÇÑ Àá¼öÇÔÀÌ ÀαÙÀÇ µ¿¸Í±¹ Àá¼öÇÔ°ú Á¤º¸¸¦ °øÀ¯ÇÏ´Â °ÍÀÌ ÇʼöÀûÀÌÁö¸¸ ÀÌ´Â ±â¹Ð Á¤º¸¿¡ ÇØ´çµÅ Áö¼Ò¹Ì¾Æ°¡ Á¾·áµÇ¸é ÃßÀû¿¡ Â÷ÁúÀÌ »ý±ä´Ù°í ¿ì·ÁÇß½À´Ï´Ù.
[ºê·ç½º º£³Ý ¼±ÀÓ¿¬±¸¿ø] ¡°The fact that you're following an enemy submarine, you're not going to say out over open on communications lines, you've got to have an agreement, which allows for classified discussion, to talk about the actual, you know, when you're actually out there, and oops, I saw this Romeo class submarine, which appears to now be capable of firing ballistic missiles at exactly this location. That's going to be classified¡±
À̾ð Àª¸®¾ö½º CSIS ¹Ì»çÀϹæ¾îÇÁ·ÎÁ§Æ® ºÎ±¹ÀåÀº Àû¿Ü¼± À§¼ºÀ» ÅëÇØ ºÏÇÑ Àá¼öÇÔÀÇ Åºµµ¹Ì»çÀÏ ¹ß»ç¸¦ Æ÷ÂøÇÒ ¼ö ÀÖÁö¸¸ ´ëÀÀÇϱ⿡´Â ÀÌ¹Ì ³Ê¹« ´Ê´Ù¸ç, SLMBÀÇ Á¶±â °æº¸´Â ´ëÀá¼öÇÔÀü ŽÁö ´É·Â¿¡ ´Þ·È´Ù°í ÁöÀûÇß½À´Ï´Ù.
[À̾ð Àª¸®¾ö½º ºÎ±¹Àå] ¡°Overhead infrared satellite will pick that up but Too late at that point. Right that is what the best way of dealing with this kind is more of an anti-submarine approach¡±
¶Ç 1982³â ¿µ±¹°ú ¾Æ¸£ÇîÆ¼³ª °£ Æ÷Ŭ·£µå ÀüÀï ´ç½Ã ¾Æ¸£ÇîÆ¼³ªÀÇ Àá¼öÇÔÀº ¼ÒÀ½ÀÌ ¸Å¿ì Å« ±¸ÇüÀ̾úÁö¸¸ ¿µ±¹ ÇØ±ºÀº À̸¦ ŽÁöÇϴµ¥ ¾î·Á¿òÀ» °Þ¾ú´Ù¸ç ºÏÇÑ Àá¼öÇÔ Å½Áö ¿ª½Ã ºñ½ÁÇÑ »óȲÀ» ¸ÂÀ» ¼ö ÀÖ´Ù°í ¸»Çß½À´Ï´Ù. VOA ´º½º ±èµ¿ÇöÀÔ´Ï´Ù.
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