33. Is freedom failing? (TIME May 21, 2007) by Peter Beinart
From Russia to Bangladesh, democracy is under assault.
Here's what the West must do to save it
33-1-145
In 1999 Nigerians did something remarkable: they elected a President. After 16 years of military rule and four decades of political and economic failure, Africa's most populous country held a free election. 'Globally, things are going democratically,' a Lagos slum dweller told the New York Times. 'We want to join the globe.'
It was a good time to get on board. The percentage of democracies in the world had doubled since the 1970s, to more than 60%. Many of the remaining autocracies--pariah states like North Korea, Burma and Iran--seemed to be living on borrowed time. In ideological terms, as Francis Fukuyama famously de-clared, history was ending--and Nigeria didn't want to be left behind.
That was then. But when Nigerians went to the polls again last month, democracy lost. In an orgy of ballot-box stuffing and violence, punctuated by an attempted truck bombing of the electoral-commission headquarters, the ruling party won what some observers thought was the most fraudulent election ever in Nigeria--which is saying something. Once again, Nigeria is catching a wave. From Bangladesh to Thailand to Russia, political freedom is in retreat. In a book due out later this year, Hoover Institution political scientist Larry Diamond notes that 'we have entered a period of global democratic recession.'
A. ¾îÈÖ
assault °ø°Ý. remarkable ÁÖ¸ñÇÒ¸¸ÇÑ, µÎµå·¯Áø. military rule ±º»çÅëÄ¡.
populous Àα¸°¡ ¸¹Àº. globally Àü ¼¼°èÀûÀ¸·Î. Lagos ³ªÀÌÁö¸®¾Æ ¼öµµ.
slum dweller ºó¹Î±¼ °ÅÁÖÀÚ.
get on board [ºñÇà±â. ¹è. ¹ö½º µîÀ»] Ÿ´Ù, ãÁ×µ(½Ã·ù)¿¡ Æí½ÂÇÏ´Ù.
democracies ¹ÎÁÖÁÖÀÇ ±¹°¡µé. autocracies µ¶Àç±¹°¡µé. pariah Ý©ÕÈíº(ºÎ¶ûÀÚ).
pariah states ±øÆÐ³ª¶ó. live on borrowed time ¼ö¸íÀÌ ¾ó¸¶ ³²Áö ¾Ê¾Ò´Ù.
terms ¸»¾¾, Ç¥Çö. de-clare ¼±¾ðÇÏ´Ù. be left behind µÚ¿¡ ÃÄÁö´Ù. poll ÅõÇ¥, ¿©·ÐÁ¶»ç.
orgy ÁøÅÁ ¸¶½Ã°í ¶°µé±â, ¹ý¼®´ë±â, Ñêú¼(³Çà). ballot-box ÅõÇ¥ÇÔ.
stuffing ¼ÓÀ» ä¿ì±â, ÚÎð²(¹ÚÁ¦). punctuate °Á¶ÇÏ´Ù, µÎµå·¯Áö´Ù, ±¸µÎÁ¡À» Âï´Ù.
the electoral-commission headquarters ¼±°Å°ü¸®À§¿øÈ¸ º»ºÎ.
the ruling party òûÏíÓÚ(Áý±Ç´ç). observers [¼±°Å»óȲ] °üÂûÀÚ.
fraudulent »ç±â¸¦ Ä¡´Â. ever ¿©Å²¯, Áö±Ý±îÁö. retreat ÈÄÅð. due ...ÇÒ ¿¹Á¤ÀÎ.
institution [ÇмúÀû. »çȸÀûÀÎ] ȸ, úðüå(Çùȸ). political scientist Á¤Ä¡ÇÐÀÚ.
recession ÈÄÅð, °æ±âÈÄÅð.
B. ±¸¹®
- In an orgy of ballot-box . . . ever in Nigeria.
cf. punctuated¡æwhich was punctuated¡æand it (the orgy) was punctuated.
[ÅõÇ¥ÇÔ Ã¤¿ì±â, Æø·Â, ƯÈ÷ ¼±°Å°ü¸®À§¿øÈ¸¿¡ ´ëÇÑ ÆøÅºÆ®·° ÆøÆÄ½Ãµµ °°Àº ³ÀåÆÇ ¼±°Å¿¡¼ Áý±Ç´çÀº ¸î¸î °üÂûÀÚµé(À¯¿£ ¼±°Å°¨½Ã´Ü)ÀÌ »ý°¢ÇÏ´Â ¹Ù¿Í °°ÀÌ ³ªÀÌÁö¸®¾Æ ¿ª»ç»ó °¡Àå ½ÉÇÑ ¼±°Å»ç±â¿¡¼ ½Â¸®ÇÏ¿´´Ù.]
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What happened? Iraq, for one. The U. S's war on terrorism was always a mixed blessing for democracy. President Bush says spreading freedom is key to preventing future terrorist attacks, but his own policies have made reform much harder. For Middle East dictators who equate democratization with chaos, Iraq has been a godsend. With anarchy threatening to engulf the region, the U.S. now needs dictators like Egypt's Hosni Mubarak and Saudi Arabia's King Abdullah more than they need the U.S., which leaves little leverage to push reform. When U.S. Secretary of State Condoleeza Rice went to Cairo in June 2005, she made Egyptian democracy the centerpiece of her trip. By the time Defense Secretary Robert Gates went there last month, he refused to discuss the topic at all.
Then there's oil. As New York Times columnist Thomas Friedman has noted, the price of crude oil and the tide of freedom tend to move in opposite directions. Before 9/11, the price per bbl. fluctuated between $20 and $30. Now it hovers between $50 and $65. And that's not likely to change anytime soon, given rising demand from China and India. That gives oil-producing autocracies such as Russia, Iran, Venezuela, Sudan and now Nigeria more money to crush or buy off internal dissent. And it makes it easier for them to win friends and influence people around the world. A decade ago, authoritarian governments were largely on the defensive. Today Venezuela's Hugo Chavez is cloning himself in Bolivia and Ecuador. And Iran is on the verge of dominating the Middle East.
A. ¾îÈÖ
a mixed blessing ºÒÇ൵ µÇ°í Çູµµ µÇ´Â Ãູ.
spread-spread-spread È®Àå½ÃŰ´Ù. prevent ¿¹¹æÇÏ´Ù. reform °³Çõ. dictator µ¶ÀçÀÚ.
equate...with ...¿Í µ¿µîÇÏ°Ô »ý°¢´Ù. democratization ÚÅñ«ûù(¹ÎÁÖÈ). chaos È¥µ·.
godsend ãêÀÇ ¼±¹°, ¶æ¹ÛÀÇ Çà¿î. anarchy ¹«Á¤ºÎ »óÅÂ. threaten À§ÇùÇÏ´Ù.
engulf [䢿Ð(½É¿¬)µûÀ§·Î] »¡¾ÆµéÀÌ´Ù, ºüÁ®µé°Ô ÇÏ´Ù. leverage È¿·Â, Áö·¹ÀÇ ÀÛ¿ë.
Secretary of State ÏÐÙâíþί(±¹¹«Àå°ü). Defense Secretary ±¹¹æÀå°ü.
crude °¡°øÇÏÁö ¾ÊÀº. the tide Ãß¼¼, °æÇâ. cf. tide ðÍ×µ(Á¶·ù).
in opposite directions ßÓû»(»óÈ£) ¹Ý´ë¹æÇâÀ¸·Î. 9/11. ¹Ì±¹ ´º¿åÀÇ 9.11 Å×·¯.
fluctuate º¯ÈÇÏ´Ù, ¿À¸£³»¸®´Ù, ÔÑèô(µ¿¿ä)ÇÏ´Ù. hover ºùºù ¸Éµ¹´Ù, àÁüÞ(¼±È¸)ÇÏ´Ù.
crush ´·¯ ºÎ¼ö´Ù. buy off ¸Å¼öÇÏ´Ù. internal ³»ºÎÀÇ. dissent ì¶ì¡(ÀÌÀÇ), ºÒÂù¼º.
authoritarian µ¶ÀçÁÖÀÇÀÇ, ±ÇÀ§ÁÖÀÇÀÇ. be on the defensive áúá§(¼ö¼¼)¸¦ ÃëÇÏ´Ù.
clone ÙíàõßæãÖ(¹«¼º»ý½Ä)ÇÏ´Ù. on the verge of ±Ý¹æ...ÇÏ·Á°í ÇÏ´Â. cf. verge °¡ÀåÀÚ¸®.
dominate Áö¹èÇÏ´Ù, Á¿ìÇÏ´Ù.
B. ±¸¹®
- which leaves little leverage to push reform
[±×°ÍÀº(¹Ì±¹ÀÌ µ¶ÀçÀÚ¸¦ ÇÊ¿ä·Î ÇÏ´Â »óȲ) °³ÇõÀ» ¹Ð¾îºÙÀÏ ÈûÀ» ³²±âÁö ¾Ê´Â´Ù.]
-it¡æ for them to win ÀÌÇϸ¦ ¹Þ´Â °¡¸ñÀû¾î
ÇÑ´«¿¡ º¸´Â
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- 1 À嵿ÇõÀÇ í»øï "¿ì¸®°¡ Ȳ±³¾ÈÀÌ´Ù"
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- 4 ×Ý´ëÅë·ÉÀº Àß°í °Ì¸¹Àº »ç¶÷!...'Àڱ⠰úÀ׺¸È£'°¡ ºÒ·¯¿Â Áß´ëÀ§±â
- 5 'µ¿¹°±¹È¸' ´ÙÀ½ ÄÚ½º´Â 'Áü½Â±¹È¸'
- 6 ÀÌÀç¸íÀÇ ÆøÁ¤(øìïÙ) ¿À·¡ °¡Áö ¸øÇÒ °Í
- 7 '¹Îº¹ ¾¾ÀÇ °ßÇØ¿¡ µ¿ÀÇÇÒ ¼ö ¾ø½À´Ï´Ù'(À̵¿º¹)
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- 9 ´ëȰ¡ ¾È µÇ´Â °ÍÀÌ ±Ø¿ì¿Í ±ØÁÂÀÇ Æ¯Â¡
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