49a-3-209
The cost of such a collapse scarcely bears thinking aboutand South Koreans for the most part are trying their best not to do so. The task would make West Germany's absorption of East Germany look like a doddle. South Korea is merely a middle-income country, with only a minimal social safety net to offer its own people, let alone abject North Koreans, who are perhaps 15 times poorer than their southern counterparts (whereas East Germans were two or three times poorer than West Germans at the time of unification).
So unification, if and when it comes, will require South Korea to field huge resources, however much help it might get from international institutions. That is a good reason to start building them up now. Yet there are also plenty of pressing home-grown reasons for more economic growth. The most important of these is a dramatic plunge in fertility. Today's birth rate is extraordinarily low, and heading lower. This is an Asia-wide trend, but South Korea's has fallen more than most. The total fertility rate of South Korean women (ie, the average number of births they can expect) has dropped to just 1.26 (see chart 1), down from 4.5 in 1970 and 1.5 in 2000. That is roughly half the rate at which a population replaces itself. In other words, the child-bearing generation 25 years from now will be roughly half the size of the current one. Even Japan, famous for its dearth of children, has a higher fertility rate, at 1.3.
A. ¾îÈÖ
scarcely °ÅÀÇ...¾Ê´Ù. bear thinking about »ý°¢À» ǰ´Ù. absorption ýåâ¥(Èí¼ö).
doddle ¼ö¿ùÇÑ ÀÏ, ´©¿ö¼ ¶± ¸Ô±â. minimal ÃÖ¼ÒÀÇ. social safety net »çȸ¾ÈÀü¸Á.
let alone ...Àº ¹°·ÐÀ̰í, ...Àº ¸»ÇÒ °Íµµ ¾øÀÌ. abject çÍÕª(¿µ¶ô)ÇÑ, ºñÂüÇÑ.
counterpart »ó´ë, ÇÑ ½ÖÀÇ ÇÑ ÂÊ. field ó¸®ÇÏ´Ù. institution °ø°ø´Üü.
pressing ÑÌÐá(±ä±Þ)ÇÑ, Àý¹ÚÇÑ. home-grown ±¹³»¿¡¼ ¹ß»ýÇÑ.
plunge Ðá˽ù»(±Þ°ÇÏ). fertility Ãâ»ê, Ýþèª(ºñ¿Á), Òýß§(´Ù»ê). trend °æÇâ.
fertility rate Ãâ»êÀ². replace µÚ¸¦ ÀÕ´Ù. child-bearing Ãâ»ê.
the current one ÇöÀçÀÇ Ãâ»ê¼¼´ë. dearth °áÇÌ, ºÎÁ·.
49a-4-210
For South Korean women, as for those elsewhere in Asia, this appears to be a good thing, offering them greater security and more autonomy than ever before within a Confucian family structure that has historically been hierarchical and male-dominated. Even better, South Korea's mortality rate has also fallen steeply, and people can now expect to live 30 years longer than they did at the start of the country's modernisation in 1960.
Yet the fall in the fertility rate may reflect dissatisfactions too: notably, over the difficulties faced by women who want both to work and to raise a family. Almost everyone still gets married in South Korea. In other words, the fertility rate is falling because more women are postponing marriage to nearer the end of their reproductive lives. That is partly because the burden of raising children still falls heavily on women, whereas men are consumed with work, which in South Korea, as in Japan, entails long hours and drinking sessions late into the night.
Also as in Japan, companies, despite some improvement, still discriminate heavily against women, especially those with children. Just one-third of South Korean women go back to work after having children, half the OECD average. The World Economic Forum's ranking of sex equality puts South Korea 97th out of 128 countries. This represents a huge economic and social waste, and not only because South Korean women are better educated, on average, than their men.
A. ¾îÈÖ
autonomy ÀÚÀ², ÀÚÄ¡±Ç. Confucian family structure À¯±³Àû °¡Á·±¸Á¶.
hierarchial ÍÐäîÜ(°è±ÞÀû)ÀÎ, °è±ÞÁ¦µµÀÇ. male-dominated ³²¼ºÁÖµµÀûÀÎ.
mortality rate ÞÝØÌ×Ë(»ç¸Á·ü). steeply °¡ÆÄ¸£°Ô, ¾öû³ª°Ô. reflect ¹Ý»çÇÏ´Ù.
dissatisfaction ºÒ¸¸. notably µÎµå·¯Áö°Ô, ¸í¹éÇϰÔ. postpone ¿¬±âÇÏ´Ù.
reproductive »ý½ÄÀÇ, ¹ø½ÄÀÇ. consume á¼ò×(¼ÒÁø)ÇÏ´Ù, ¼ÒºñÇÏ´Ù.
entail ¼ö¹ÝÇÏ´Ù. session üåãÝ(ȸ½Ä). discriminate Â÷º°ÇÏ´Ù. sex equality ³²³àÆòµî.
represent ÀǹÌÇÏ´Ù, ³ªÅ¸³»´Ù. waste ³¶ºñ. on average Æò±ÕÀûÀ¸·Î.
B. ±¸¹®
- difficulties faced by women=difficulties which were faced by women
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