Calling Kim Jong Il's bluff ②

Either path would mean a new regional security order even less of China's making than the current one.
67-3-319
So North Korea remains a rogue state with an alarming nuclear programme rather than being a nuclear power in its own right. Mr Obama's North Korean policy is unformulated, and his foreign-policy and security team incomplete. But the clearer the shortcomings of the North's nuclear programmes, the less Mr Obama will be inclined to rush like his predecessor into deals that quickly unravel. That will reassure South Korea and Japan, which despaired that Mr Bush's negotiations sometimes allowed North Korea to drive a wedge between America and its allies.
Mr Kim's belligerence has backfired in political terms too. In his inaugural address, Mr Obama said he would extend a hand to those willing to unclench their fist. He faces criticism at home for reaching out to Iran and for greeting Hugo Chavez, Venezuela's strongman. It would be too much of a gift to hardline Republicans if he also extended his hand to Mr Kim's clenched one. So the grand bilateral bargain that the Dear Leader has long wantedaid, full recognition and security guarantees in return for giving up his box of nuclear tricksremains as remote as ever. The North's oppressed and impoverished people are the victims.

A. 어휘
rogue 악당, 건달. rogue state 깡패국가. alarming 깜짝 놀라게 하는, 불안한.
in one's own right 자신의 능력으로, 당연히.
unformulated 명료하게 나타내지 않은. cf. formulate 명료하게 나타내다.
shortcomings 결함. be inclined to+V ...의 경향이 있는. predecessor 전임자.
unravel 무효가 되다, 풀리다. reassure 안심시키다. despair 실망하다.
negotiation 협상. wedge 쐐기. drive a wedge 쐐기를 박다. ally 동맹국.
political terms 정치적 입장. inaugural address 취임연설. unclench 펴다.
fist 주먹. grand 당당한, 웅대한. bilateral 상호간의, 양쪽의. recognition 인정.
security guarantee 안전보장. oppress 압박하다, 학대하다. impoverished 가난한.

B. 구문
- his foreign-policy and security team incomplete.
[그의 외교-안보 팀은 완전히 조직을 갖추지도 않았다]

67-4-320
What happens next depends in part on China, North Korea's ally. At the recent Bo'ao Forum, China's answer to Davos, on Hainan island, a string of Chinese policymakers shunned Deng Xiaoping's dictum that China should 'keep a cool head, maintain a low profile and never take the lead', arguing instead for what amounted to a new world order, centred in Asia (read China). Some Western commentators divine a profound shift as China bids for the role of global hegemon.
If this claim can be tested anywhere, it is presumably in the six-party process, which China hosts. Yet here the claim falls short, and not only because China struggles to influence its small neighbour. China had as much reason as anyone, or more, for falling in with international condemnation of the rocket launch, as it did after North Korea's nuclear test. The provocation only raises the odds that America, Japan and South Korea will develop anti-missile defences that undermine China's own deterrence. Worse, an unrestrained North Korea might conceivably push Japan into going nuclear, as Japanese hawks are once again suggesting. Either path would mean a new regional security order even less of China's making than the current one.

A. 어휘
string 실, 끈, 한 무리. a string of 한 떼의. shun 피하다. dictum 선언, 금언.
profile (사진, 조각의)옆 얼굴 像(상), 半面像(반면상).
maintain a low profile 겸손한 자세를 유지하다.
amount to ...에 달하다, ...와 같아지다. a new world order 새로운 세계질서.
commentator 해설자. divine 추측하다, 예언하다. profound 깊은. shift 변화.
bid for 요구하다, 입찰을 하다. hegemon 覇權(패권). host 주관하다.
fall short (힘이) 못 미치다, 모자라다. fall in with ...에 동조하다, 한패가 되다.
condemnation 비난. provocation 도발. odds 가능성, 승산.
undermine 토대를 침식하다, 위태롭게 하다. deterrence 抑止力(억지력).
unrestrained 억제 받지 않는, 거리낌없는. conceivably 아마.
hawk 매, 매派(파)의 사람(對外)[대외 강경론자.] current 현재의.

B. 구문
- Worse→What is worse
[더욱더 나쁜 것은(부사절)]
- Either path would mean . . . than the current one.
[어느 쪽이든 현재의 안보질서보다는 중국의 역할이 훨씬 더 적은 새로운 지역 안보질서를 의미할 것이다.]
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